| Abstract: | Exploration success relies on properly risking the hydrocarbon system relevant for each prospect. Accurate risking of secondary migration efficiencies has been difficult due to lack of simple procedures that relate rock properties such as permeability and entry pressures to migration velocities, oil stringer heights and saturations. In order to achieve improved estimates of charge probabilities, equations for the secondary migration process are formulated based upon the Darcy flow and buoyancy conditions. An analytical solution of the formulated equations is shown, making it possible to construct charts for efficiently assessing the column height of secondary migration hydrocarbon stringers. The average oil (hydrocarbon) saturation of the migrating stringer can be computed, making it easy to compute the permeability related, secondary migration losses. Inputs to the chart are hydrocarbon flow‐rates and flow‐path width, hydrocarbon viscosity and density, carrier bed dip, permeability and entry pressures. Outputs are stringer heights, hydrocarbon saturation, relative permeability, migration velocities and migration losses. A procedure for including the new equations into existing basin scale fluid flow simulators is outlined and a Java applet for calculating the properties is described. The Java applet is useful for sensitivity studies, and can also be used to test results from basin simulators with the new migration efficiency equations. The analytical solution suggests that many published methods for calculating hydrocarbon migration in fluid flow simulators will over‐estimate hydrocarbon saturations and therefore losses. Calculated migration velocities will also be too low. |
