口岸城市入境旅游流空间扩散路径实证研究——以上海市为例

本研究以东部典型入境口岸城市上海为研究对象，以市场调查资料为数据来源，从节点、方向及路径三个角度研究上海市入境旅游流的路径转移扩散规律。研究结果显示，以上海作为入境1：7岸的入境旅游流扩散人次排前十的节点城市依次为：北京、西安、杭州、成都、南京、桂林、广州、昆明、苏州、深圳；按照旅游流扩散方向可将入境旅游流扩散方向分为四类：北向、南向、西北向和西南向，并在每个方向上分别归纳出4条扩散路径，其中上海→北京→西安这→路径人数比例最高，上海→成都→西安→北京次之，上海→西安→北京处于第三位；同时研究显示，入境旅游流的扩散存在着路径依赖及路径依赖锁定现象。

An Empirical Research on Spatial Diffusion Paths of Inbound Tourist Flows in Chinese Port Cities:A Case Study of Shanghai

This paper selected Shanghai, an important port city in China to study the proliferation of its inbound tourist flow paths. Based on first-hand data, the paper made a comprehensive study of Shanghai＇ s inbound tourist flow paths from three dimensions including the node, the direction and the diffusion paths. The paper started from determining four directions of tourist flow diffusion： north （32.12%） ,south（ 13.83% ） ,northwest（ 12.83% ） and southwest（ 11.42% ） ,then selected 16 specific diffusion paths under each direction, and finally locked in path dependence. It suggests that the government continue to develop other possible travel lines according to the path-dependence theory while maintaining the original situations of dependence lock-in in order to develop the inbound tourism in the country.