A decline of ‘friends and neighbours voting’ in Ireland? Local candidate effects in the 2011 Irish ‘earthquake election' |
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| Institution: | 1. ERC “Public Goods through Private Eyes” Project, Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw, Obozna 7/41, 00-332 Warsaw, Poland;2. Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin, 1 College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland;1. University of Glasgow, UK;2. Durham University, UK;3. University of Leeds, UK;1. Global Studies, The New School, 66 W 12th St, Suite 905, New York, NY, USA;2. School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington, Room 201, Cotton Building, Gate 7 Kelburn Pde, Kelburn Campus, Wellington, New Zealand, and Oxford Diasporas Programme;1. Susquehanna University, United States;2. Barnard College, United States;3. The University of Colorado at Boulder, United States;1. University of Washington, USA;2. Dartmouth College, USA |
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| Abstract: | ‘Friends and neighbours voting’, that is, the propensity of voters to support local candidates, is a characteristic of a number of contemporary democracies. The Republic of Ireland is one of the settings where this phenomenon has been explained and documented very comprehensively. In this paper, we study local candidate effects in the most recent Irish general election, held in 2011. We show that during this unusually volatile election, fought in the shadow of an EU/IMF ‘bailout’, ‘friends and neighbours voting’ persisted but was attenuated in comparison to what has been observed in the past. This was most pronounced in the case of the historically dominant party – Fianna Fáil – and (in a weaker form) for its all-time rival – Fine Gael. We describe the changing electoral strength of these two and other Irish parties in terms of fluctuating local candidate effects. |
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| Keywords: | Voter choice ‘Friends and neighbours voting’ Ireland |
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