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Agent-based simulation of the spatial evolution of the historical population in China
Authors:Jing Wu   Rayman Mohamed  Zheng Wang  
Affiliation:a Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;b Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Wayne State University, 3198 FAB, 656 W. Kirby Street, Detroit, MI 48202, USA;c Key Laboratory of Geographical Information Science, Ministry of State Education of China, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China;d Management College, University of Science and Technology of China, Anhui 230026, China
Abstract:This paper presents an agent-based simulation (ABS) and cellular automata (CA) coupled model to simulate the spatial evolution of the population of China over the past 2000 years. In the model, agents are used to simulate individuals who live in a geographic environment represented by the CA. The choice to migrate is influenced by climate change, potential agricultural productivity change, and waves of mass migrations. Using the simulation, we can observe the spatial evolution of the population, as well as the shift of the population center of gravity, and we can analyze the driving forces of these changing spatial patterns.
Keywords:Agent-based simulation   Cellular automata   Population distribution   China
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