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Climate change,human security and violent conflict
Institution:1. School of Social and Environmental Enquiry, University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia;2. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;1. University of Sussex, United Kingdom;2. Kyunghee University, South Korea;1. Department of International Relations, University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9QN, UK;2. Department of International Relations, Bilkent University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey;1. Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Box 514, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden;2. Center for Natural Disaster Science (CNDS), Villavägen 16, SE-752 36 Uppsala, Sweden;1. Department of Geography, University of Utah, United States;2. Institute of Behavioral Science and Department of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, United States;3. Institute of Behavioral Science and Department of Anthropology, University of Colorado Boulder, United States;4. Institute of Behavioral Science and Department of Political Science, University of Colorado Boulder, United States;5. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Alaska Anchorage, United States
Abstract:Climate change is increasingly been called a ‘security’ problem, and there has been speculation that climate change may increase the risk of violent conflict. This paper integrates three disparate but well-founded bodies of research – on the vulnerability of local places and social groups to climate change, on livelihoods and violent conflict, and the role of the state in development and peacemaking, to offer new insights into the relationships between climate change, human security, and violent conflict. It explains that climate change increasingly undermines human security in the present day, and will increasingly do so in the future, by reducing access to, and the quality of, natural resources that are important to sustain livelihoods. Climate change is also likely to undermine the capacity of states to provide the opportunities and services that help people to sustain their livelihoods. We argue that in certain circumstances these direct and indirect impacts of climate change on human security may in turn increase the risk of violent conflict. The paper then outlines the broad contours of a research programme to guide empirical investigations into the risks climate change poses to human security and peace.
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