九十年代中东地缘政治的因素与机制探讨

中东是个独特的政治地理区域,90年代以来正在走向多极化。影响中东地缘政治的因素丰富多样,本文对其中的地理位置、国土、自然资源、民族、宗教、地区霸权等最重要的因素进行了简要的论述。并在提出国家影响力、地缘政治影响力概念的基础上,设计了简明的公式,对中东地缘政治稳定度作了定量探讨,文间还结合当前中东政局中的重大问题和主要特征进行了分析。

AN EXPLORATION OF THE POLITICOGEOGRAPHIC FACTORS AND MECHANISM IN THE MIDDLE EAST IN 1990'S

As a special geo-political area in the world, the Middle East has been moving towards the multipolization since the 1990's, and its geo-political situation has been influenced by a lot of different factors. This paper aims at expounding the most important of the factors, such as geographical locations, territories, natural resources, nationalities, religions and regional hegemony concerned with the Middle East. Based on the conceptions of influencing power of body politic and geo-politics, the paper postulates some concise formulas, which can be applied to the quantitative analysis of the geo-political stability of the Middle East. Also, the paper offers a discussion about some major events and characteristics of the present Middle East geo- political situation.