Forging political entrepreneurs: Civil war effects on post-conflict politics in Italy |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Political Science, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan, Italy;2. Department of Government, University of Essex, United Kingdom;3. Department of Politics and International Relations, Brasenose College, University of Oxford, United Kingdom;1. Geography, School of Environment, Education and Development, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL, United Kingdom;2. School of Humanities & Social Science, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, 305-701, South Korea;1. The Department of Geography, Downing Place, University of Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK;2. Centre for Trust, Peace and Social Relations, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK |
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| Abstract: | How does violent mobilization affect post-conflict elections? This article studies the impact that violent collective mobilization has on local electoral behavior after domestic conflict. We argue that post-conflict democratic politics at the local level can be dramatically affected by local experience of civil war. The use of violence during the war and especially local political entrepreneurs who have emerged from the conflict can influence post-violent politics. We use as case-study the civil war that took place in Italy during the last phase of World War II. Using new spatially disaggregated data on armed groups' location and violent episodes, we assess the impact of the violent mobilization on the 1946 elections, which took place after the conflict. We find that partisans' mobilization and, more weakly, Nazi-Fascist violent acts influenced local politics, shifting votes towards more radical positions. Our findings hold across numerous robustness checks. |
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| Keywords: | Post-conflict Violence Italy Civil war Political behavior GIS |
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