| 日本出国旅游需求与人均GDP关系实证研究——兼议对我国出境旅游发展的启示 |
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| 引用本文： | 张凌云,房蕊.日本出国旅游需求与人均GDP关系实证研究——兼议对我国出境旅游发展的启示[J].旅游科学,2011,25(3):24-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张凌云 房蕊 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京联合大学旅游学院,北京,100101
2. 北京第二外国语学院旅游发展研究院,北京,100024 |
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| 摘 要： | 首先,基于日本1964年～2008年出国旅游相关数据,得到日本出国旅游量的收入弹性,发现日本在人均GDP（按当年价格计算）达到2000～4000美元时,出国旅游呈现爆发性增长。其次,与我国的出境旅游进行对比研究,发现我国在现价人均GDP达到3000美元时,并未出现出境旅游爆发性增长的迹象。同时,研究发现,在北京和上海人均GDP达到3000美元以上时,出境旅游呈现爆发性增长,而广州人均GDP高达8000美元以上时,出境旅游才呈现爆发性增长。
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| 关 键 词： | 人均GDP 出境（国）旅游需求 日本 |
An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Outbound Tourism Demand and Per Capita GDP of Japan:Enlightenments on China's Outbound Tourism Development |
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| ZHANG Lingyun,FANG Rui.An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Outbound Tourism Demand and Per Capita GDP of Japan:Enlightenments on China's Outbound Tourism Development[J].Tourism Science,2011,25(3):24-34. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Lingyun FANG Rui |
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| Institution: | ZHANG Lingyun1,FANG Rui2(1.Institute of Tourism,Beijing Union University,Beijing 100101,China,2.Academy of Tourism Development,Beijing International Studies University,Beijing 100024,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on Japan's outbound tourism data from 1964 to 2008,this paper makes an analysis on the relationship between Japan's outbound tourism demand and per capita GDP.With an income elasticity map drawn,it finds that the critical point of a rapid increase of outbound tourism of Japanese travelers runs from $2000 to $4000.By making a comparison with China's economic indicators,no sign of high growth of outbound tourism is found when Chinese per capita GDP reaches $3000 dollar.The result also shows that the soa... |
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| Keywords: | per capita GDP outbound tourism demand Japan China |
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