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| 城市住宅市场价格系统动力学模型实证研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 罗平,何素芳,牛慧恩.城市住宅市场价格系统动力学模型实证研究[J].人文地理,2001,16(2):57-61. |
| 作者姓名： | 罗平 何素芳 牛慧恩 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 佛山科学技术学院旅游与地理系, 佛山 528000; 2. 兰州大学地理系, 兰州 730000 |
| 摘 要： | 城市住宅市场价格影响因素复杂,必须用系统思想才能准确预测模拟其发展趋势。文章结合对兰州市住房市场的实证研究,从理论和实践两方面构建了城市住宅市场价格系统动力学仿真模型,并借助计算机利用系统动力学软件对模型进行了调试和分析,得到了比较令人满意的结果。认为,城市住宅价格系统动力学模型在以下三方面有较大的推广应用价值:①房地产市场趋势仿真模拟;②房地产政策研究和决策分析;③城市住宅市场系统内在机制研究。 |
| 关 键 词： | 住宅市场价格 系统动力学 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2398(2001)02-0057-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 1999-06-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999年6月14日 |
A CASE STUDY ON URBAN HOUSING-PRICE BY SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL |
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| LUO Ping,HE Su fang ,NIU Hui en.A CASE STUDY ON URBAN HOUSING-PRICE BY SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL[J].Human Geography,2001,16(2):57-61. | |
| Authors: | LUO Ping HE Su fang NIU Hui en |
| Institution: | 1. Department of Tourism and Geography, Foshan University, Foshan 528000, China; 2. Department of Geography, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China |
| Abstract: | Influenced by complex factors, housing price can be well predicted by the systematic theory.Combining the empirical study on Lanzhou's house market, in the view of theory and practice, the paper constructs system dynamics model of urban housing price.Adjusted and analyzed by computer, the satisfactory results were obtained.It can be concluded that the model has great applied values in three aspeets, including:①imitation of real estate market;②policy study and policy decision analysis on real estate;③intrinsic mechanism study on urban house market. |
| Keywords: | housing price system dynamics model |
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