Microsimulation for Local Impact Analysis: an Application to Plant Shutdown*

Abstract. Microsimulation was introduced nearly 50 years ago but has recently experienced a revival in the social sciences. Its use in regional science, however, has been limited, although it offers some advantages over common regional analytic methods. This paper describes a microsimulation model that can be used to analyze the impact of a regional economic event. The model incorporates spatial, social, and economic factors and allows outcomes to be aggregated at different geographical scales, for different cohorts, and for variables not ordinarily considered in impact analysis. The model is used to simulate the effects of a plant shutdown on workers.     

Local labour markets and socio-economic change: evidence from Danish towns, 2008–2013

The recent financial and economic crisis had substantial but spatially differentiated impacts on growth. However, there is still a lot left to be understood about the local aspects of the crisis. One of these aspects is its socio-economic consequences. This paper investigates local socio-economic change to Danish towns from 2008 to 2013, with a focus on the impact of local labour market (LLM) structures on change. Socio-economic change in towns is measured both directly as mean income and employment growth, and indirectly as population and human capital growth. The paper relies on micro-data and uses robust regression to generate results. Several findings are presented, but the two main conclusions are: first, the LLM structures of towns still influence local socio-economic development; and, second, towns experience better socio-economic development if they are in close proximity to a larger labour market and/or have a large ratio of commuters in the working population.     

The Need for a Multivocal Approach to Researching and Managing Guam's World War II Underwater Cultural Heritage

Since 2006, four maritime archaeology field schools, desktop and field surveys have been carried out in Guam. In 2012 a site associated with the United States Navy's Construction Battalion (US Seabees) was investigated. This paper summarizes the historical background of Guam and the known sites of maritime archaeological interest, particularly those dating to World War II. The problems of public interpretation of the cultural material of colonial powers are considered, and, using the Seabee site as an example, ways in which Guam's indigenous Chamorro people can be included in this history are presented.     

Comments on Two tests of the prehistoric cultural chronology of Varanger,North Norway by Knut Helskog. NAR 7, No. 2, pp. 97–103

Hans Arne Jensen: Catalogue of late‐ and post‐glacial macrofossils of Spermatophyta from Denmark, Schleswig, Scania, Holland, and Blekinge dated 13,000 B.P. to 1536 A.D. Danmarks Geologiske Unders?gelse Series A, No. 6. 95 pp.

Clive Gamble: The Palaeolithic Settlement of Europe. Cambridge World Archaeology, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1986. 471 pp. 110 illustrations, 91 tables

D. V. Clarke, T. G. Cowie and Andrew Foxon: Symbols of Power at the Time of Stonehenge. With contributions by John C. Barrett, Ian G. Shepherd, Joan Taylor and Caroline Wickham‐Jones. Photographs by Ian Larner, Michael Brooks and Doreen Moyes. National Museum of Antiquities of Scotland, Edinburgh 1985: Her Majesty's Stationery Office. 334 pp.