桂林旅游景区书法景观符号效应分析

书法景观是具有中国特色的特殊文化景观和文化符号,广泛应用于旅游景区而成为旅游景观的一种重要类型.本文以桂林旅游景区的书法景观为案例进行研究,结果表明,书法景观作为旅游景区的重要人文景观,旅游者总体上对其具有较高的认知和鉴赏兴趣;书法景观对旅游者产生了一定程度的符号效应,具体表现在书法鉴赏、文化象征、审美引导3个方面,对应于外在行为、文化环境知觉、景观审美活动3个层次的行为效应.书法景观的符号效应在书法鉴赏方面存在显著差异,而在文化象征和审美引导方面无显著差异.书法景观符号效应研究对于揭示人们的地方感和环境行为与书法景观之间的关系、旅游景区书法景观的设计和景区文化氛围的营造等具有指导意义.     

旅游上市公司股权结构对经营绩效的影响——以成长性为调节变量

本文选取了2007年～2009年间23家旅游上市公司为样本,系统探究了旅游上市公司股权结构与经营绩效间的线性关系、二次曲线关系以及成长性的调节效应,研究发现：旅游上市公司的股权结构与经营绩效间不存在显著的线性关系,但是,前5大股东以及前10大股东持股比例与经营绩效呈显著的倒U型关系,国有股比例以及社会公众股比例与经营绩效也呈显著倒u型关系,此外。成长性在第1大股东持股比例以及国有股比例和社会公众股比例影响旅游上市公司经营绩效的过程中,发挥了显著的调节作用。     

住房制度改革对中国城市居住分异的影响

住房制度改革是中国城市居住分异的重要影响因素。住房制度改革后,城市居民可根据自身社会经济特征和消费偏好,选择居住区位和住房与邻里质量,住房选择行为相对自由化。商品房的开发在住房制度改革后得到鼓励,房产商在政府宏观调控指引下,自主选择投资区位,建设不同层次的住房和邻里,以满足不同层次居民的居住需求。不同类型企业、不同工龄的职工在享受房改房的机会明显不同,造成享受者和未享受者住房条件的差异,从而形成居住分异。公共部门的干预使得住房类型构成多样化,出现了经济适用房、房改房和廉租房等资助房,与商品房并存;种种约束条件使得社会群体在不同类型住房中分布并不均衡,形成居住分异。     

“日本投资模式”在东亚经济效应分析

根据小岛清的“边际产业扩张论”,日本对东亚的“顺贸易导向型”投资,对扩大东道国贸易,促进东道国宏观经济增长均有较大的积极效应,在东亚工业化初期发挥了“进口替代效应”,为建立“出口加工基地”做出了一定的贡献,但是由于日本对东亚投资结构的固定化类同化,技术转让滞后等,到了90年代后,不仅日本国内陷入长期的萧条,而且也诱导了东亚金融危机的爆发,且无力扭转东亚地区严重的经济危机。     

BLOCK,NEIGHBOURHOOD OR DISTRICT? THE IMPORTANCE OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCALE FOR AREA EFFECTS ON EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Researchers show an increasing interest in the question of how a neighbourhood influences its residents. The crucial question is whether place‐related factors have an independent effect on individual life chances. This study examines adolescent development, with educational attainment as the dependent variable. It further addresses contextual effects that emerge at different intra‐urban geographical scales by exploring spatial effects at block, neighbourhood and district level in Oslo, Norway. How does the population composition at the three scales affect the level of future educational attainment for adolescents? What are the most important aspects of the population? Is the impact of various population indicators similar or different across the three scales? A number of causal mechanisms, which operate at different geographical scales, such as social interaction, shared social spaces, stigmatization and institutional resources are discussed. The study has a longitudinal approach, and includes register‐based information about the whole population of Oslo and a young target population. The analysis is based on two‐, three‐ and four‐level modelling. The results reveal significant effects on the youth's future educational attainment at all geographical levels and for all tested measures of social and demographic area composition. The share of low‐educated neighbours seems to have the strongest impact. Contradictory to most other studies, the results show that the highest geographical level (district) has the strongest effect. This surprising result is tentatively interpreted to emerge from a combination of three interwoven mechanisms: the youths' extended activity spaces and social interactions, the institutional aspects (schools), and place stigmatization.     

WHAT SCALE MATTERS? EXPLORING THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN INDIVIDUALS' SOCIAL POSITION,NEIGHBOURHOOD CONTEXT AND THE SCALE OF NEIGHBOURHOOD

Over the past few years, neighbourhood effects research has received significant attention from the academic world, not only in the US, where that attention has a longer tradition, but also in Western Europe. There is also substantial interest among policy makers. Most policy makers intend to reduce concentrations of poverty by enhancing the social mix of neighbourhoods. Avoiding high immigrant concentrations in particular neighbourhoods is another issue that fuels political debate and policy intervention in many Western European countries, Scandinavian countries included. However, there are clear gaps in the understanding of the relationship between neighbourhood composition and social outcomes. One of these gaps regards the scale of the neighbourhood; if there would be neighbourhood effects, what scale is it relevant to consider? Is mix good or bad for the social prospects of individuals at a level that is very local, for example a few neighbouring streets, or could mix be helpful at a somewhat higher scale? This article will focus on this issue, applying individual longitudinal data in multi‐level models for the entire active population of the three largest metropolitan areas in Sweden. We will explore the degree to which the social and ethnic composition of geographical districts, at a variety of scales (measured at time t), are statistically related to individual employment and earnings for adult metropolitan residents at time t+1, controlling for relevant personal and household characteristics.     

基于创业资源的会展经济效应作用机制多案例研究

会展产业的经济效应是会展研究领域的重要论题.本文在已有研究提出的理论模型的基础之上,从创业资源的需求和供给两方面,分别选取3家典型的创业企业作为需求方和1家会展企业作为供给方开展多案例研究并进行比较分析,验证得出基于创业资源的会展经济效应作用机制,并进一步揭示在这一作用过程中各种创业资源之间的互动关系.研究发现：会展活动在一定时间空间内集聚资源而产生供给,创业企业在开发创业机会的过程中受到高度的资源约束而产生需求,这种供需关系使得资源成为会展活动实现经济效应的传导手段,创业企业从会展活动中获得社会资源、技术资源、财务资源、组织资源、人力资源、物质资源等创业资源,其中社会资源和人力资源发挥了杠杆作用.     

旅游发展会推动房价上涨吗？——基于中国分省数据的经验研究

本文基于2000年～2009年中国大陆30个省区（不包含西藏）的面板数据,综合采用混合回归（POLS）、固定效应（FE）、随机效应（RE）、系统广义矩估计法（sys—GMM）,对旅游发展与房价之间的关系进行了经验检验。研究结果表明：（1）旅游发展对房价有显著的正向影响,且该影响主要发生在当期,两者之间的跨期影响并不明显;（2）旅游发展与房价的正向关系并不依赖于地区经济发展水平,城市化在旅游发展对房价的影响中起着正向调节作用;（3）系统GMM对动态面板模型的估计结果显示,地区房价具有“自我收敛”功能,房价决定系统中存在一种“逆风向”的动态调整机制;（4）旅游发展对房价的影响呈现出区域差异,其对西部、东部、中部房价的影响强度依次递减。     

Explaining recent fertility increase in Central Asia

After a swift decline during the 1990s following the collapse of the Soviet Union, period fertility rates have either been stagnating or increasing in all countries of Central Asia. In this paper, I investigate the role of data artifacts, population composition effect, economic context and shifting tempo effect in explaining fertility changes in Central Asia. The analysis is primarily based on comparison of fertility data from the vital registration system with estimates from other data sources. The results show that the recent changes to be real and not a result of data artifact. The most plausible explanations are to be found in the three other non-exclusive factors (population composition effect, economic context and shifting tempo effect) that contributed jointly and simultaneously to push up the period fertility rates in the region.     

书法景观旅游地游客地方感影响因素分析——以陕西汉中石门十三品为例

书法作为我国传统文化的象征,是旅游者地方文化感知的重要符号元素。本文选取了我国陕西汉中著名的书法碑刻群-"石门十三品"作为案例地,将游客地方感分为情感依恋、景观原真性、社会文化氛围、书法功能四个维度,构建了书法景观旅游地游客地方感影响因素模型。通过单因素方差分析,聚类分析得出游客年龄、对景区的熟悉度、旅游动机在情感依恋维度上的差异显著。距离对游客地方感的影响则主要体现在社会文化氛围维度上,而不同书法背景的游客则在书法功能维度上差异显著。地方理论与书法景观的应用研究为书法旅游资源的规划和管理提供了依据,具有一定的实践指导意义。