Some Discussions on Data-Driven Testing of Ground-Motion Prediction Equations under the Turkish Ground-Motion Database

Data-driven testing of ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) can help researchers in the ranking and selection of GMPEs for seismic hazard assessment. This paper presents and discusses the details of the major features of well-known testing methods which employ likelihood and Euclidean distance concepts. A set of local, regional, and global GMPEs are assessed under a ground-motion database. The data-driven testing of GMPEs is supported by thorough residual analyses under the database, providing valuable insights into the testing of GMPEs. The researchers are advised to evaluate all options together instead of focusing on a specific tool to build well-structured ground-motion logic trees.     

A Bayesian Updating Applied to Earthquake Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Iran

This article presents new ground-motion prediction equations for three distinct seismic regions of Iran via updating the previous global model using observed data for each region by means of Bayesian updating. The Bayesian theory has the advantage that it results in more accurate results even in situations when little data is available. This leads the way for updating global models to obtain new local models for seismotectonic regions with little available data like Iran. The proposed updated model was compared against currently available models for Iran and the results reveal the overall stability and quality performance of the proposed model.     

EUROCODE 8 DESIGN RESPONSE SPECTRA EVALUATION USING THE K-NET JAPANESE DATABASE

The Eurocode 8 (EC8) currently proposes two standard shapes for the design response spectra. Type 1 spectra are enriched in long period and are suggested for high seismicity regions. Conversely, Type 2 spectra are proposed for low to moderate seismicity areas (like France), and exhibit both a larger amplification at short period, and a much smaller long period contents, with respect to Type 1 spectra. These propositions, however, were constrained using few events mostly recorded on analogical instruments. In the present study, we use the Japanese high quality digital K-net array in order to evaluate the proposed ECS response spectra. Furthermore, all K-net stations have geotechnical characterisation. We first constructed a database of shallow events, depth less than 25 km, to avoid subduction related records. The database spans six years of seismicity from 1996 until 2003. Thus, 591 events were selected with moment magnitude between 4 and 7.3, recorded at 691 stations, giving a total of 6812 two horizontal components accelerograms. Using these records, we computed spectral ground-motion prediction equations and we used them to review the shape of the proposed EC8 spectra. In particular, we studied the plateau-PGA ratio level, the period interval where this plateau is constant, and site amplification effects. The results show surprisingly that the Type 2 rock better envelope the Japanese data. Another interesting observation is that the K-net data corresponding to all soil classes are rich in short periods around 0.1 s. This characteristic has not been observed in other worldwide databases. Normalised empirical predictions show a widening of the plateau as the soil conditions degrade. This suggests that the Type 2 EC8 spectra do not cover enough the long periods for EC3-soil classes C, D and E. Finally, the computed ground-motion prediction equations show that the peak ground acceleration (PGA) is nearly invariant to the soil conditions. Soil effects are mainly seen in the shape and plateau level.     

Seismic Risk Assessment of New Zealand Unreinforced Masonry Churches using Statistical Procedures

ABSTRACT

The 2010–2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence provided extensive evidence of the significant seismic vulnerability of New Zealand unreinforced masonry (URM) churches. Given the high seismicity of the country, the exposure of human lives and the societal significance of ecclesiastic buildings, for both historical and religious reasons, the reduction in seismic vulnerability of this building type is of primary importance. By analyzing the seismic performance of a sample of 80 affected buildings, regression models correlating mean damage levels against ground-motion parameters were developed for observed collapse mechanisms, accounting for vulnerability modifiers whose influence was estimated via statistical procedures. Considering the homogeneity of New Zealand URM churches, the vulnerability models developed for the Canterbury region were extended to the whole country inventory, and a synthetic index was proposed to summarise damage related to several mechanisms. Territorial scale assessment of the seismic vulnerability of churches can assist emergency management efforts and facilitate the identification of priorities for more in-depth analysis of individual buildings. After proper calibration, the proposed approach can be applied to other countries with similar building heritage.     

Importance of Degrading Behavior for Seismic Performance Evaluation of Simple Structural Systems

This study focuses on effect of degradation characteristics on seismic performance of simple structural systems. Equivalent single degree of freedom systems are used for which the structural characteristics are taken from existing reinforced concrete (RC) frame buildings. Simulation of degrading behavior is achieved by considering actual experimental data. To obtain the seismic response of degrading structural systems, two different approaches are used: inelastic spectral analysis and fragility analysis. According to the results obtained from both approaches, degrading behavior is dominant for mid-rise RC frame buildings as it significantly amplifies seismic demand. Hence, in performance-based assessment approaches, analytical modeling of such degrading structures should be carried out carefully.     

A Comparative Study on Ground Motion Attenuation in the 2012 Varzaghan-Ahar Doublet Event,Northwest of Iran

Predictive capabilities of the four updated NGA ground-motion models (NGA-WEST2) are evaluated in this study for acceleration response spectra using observed ground motions for August 11, 2012 Varzaghan-Ahar events in Iran. The predicted results were compared with those of regional attenuation equations and NGA08 models as well. The results of analyses revealed that the models of NGA-WEST2 improve prediction performance of NGA08 models for the two studied moderate events. All of models underestimate the recorded spectra of the second event for regionally significant period of 0.2 s at source distances below 50 km. For this distance range, almost all of the models underestimate the recorded spectra for periods larger than 1 s.     

NON-LINEAR SEISMIC RESPONSE OF ECS DESIGNED RC BUILDING STRUCTURES

In this paper, results of an analytical study on the non-linear dynamic behaviour of reinforced concrete buildings designed according to modern European Codes (Eurocode 8) are presented. An investigation of the seismic performance of 8-storey regular and irregular buildings is carried out. The study is aimed at evaluating their seismic structural performance with a focus on the influence of several design parameters used in the code affecting non-linear response. Towards this aim, use is made of a suite of spectrum-compatible artificial accelerograms. It is concluded that EC8 provisions, although correct in principle, are conservative, at least for the structures and input motions considered, in view of the very low predicted damage levels observed in most cases.     

Nonlinear Response of RC Framed Buildings with Isolation and Supplemental Damping at the Base Subjected to Near-Fault Earthquakes

The nonlinear seismic response of base-isolated framed buildings subjected to near-fault earthquakes is studied to analyze the effects of supplemental damping at the level of the isolation system, commonly adopted to avoid overly large isolators. A numerical investigation is carried out with reference to two- and multi-degree-of-freedom systems, representing medium-rise base-isolated framed buildings. Typical five-story reinforced concrete (RC) plane frames with full isolation are designed according to Eurocode 8 assuming ground types A (i.e., rock) and D (i.e., moderately soft soil) in a high-risk seismic region. The overall isolation system, made of in-parallel high-damping-laminated-rubber bearings (HDLRBs) and supplemental viscous dampers, is modeled by an equivalent viscoelastic linear model. A bilinear model idealizes the behavior of the frame members. Pulse-type artificial motions, artificially generated accelerograms (matching EC8 response spectrum for subsoil classes A or D) and real accelerograms (recorded on rock- and soil-site at near-fault zones) are considered. A supplemental viscous damping at the base is appropriate for controlling the isolator displacement, so avoiding overly large isolators; but it does not guarantee a better performance of the superstructure in all cases, in terms of structural and non structural damage, depending on the frequency content of the seismic input. Precautions should be taken with regard to near-fault earthquakes, particularly for base-isolated structures located on soil-site.     

Comparison of Nonlinear Static Methods for the Seismic Assessment of Plan Irregular Frame Buildings with Non Seismic Details

The use of Nonlinear Static Procedures (NSPs) for the seismic assessment of plan irregular buildings is challenging. The most common pushover-based approaches have led to adequate results in regular buildings, and hence, there is a need to verify the validity of such methods on the assessment of irregular structures. In this article, four commonly used nonlinear static procedures (CSM, N2, MPA, ACSM) are applied on the assessment of two existing five- and eight-story plan-asymmetric buildings in Turkey. The accuracy of the different NSPs is evaluated through comparisons with the results derived from nonlinear dynamic analyses. The results are presented in terms of interstory drifts, normalized top displacements, lateral displacement profiles, chord rotations, base shear, and top displacement ratios. The performance of such procedures in evaluating the damage limitation according to the Eurocode8 is also verified. Special attention is given to the ACSM (Adaptive Capacity Spectrum Method) whose performance in 3D plan irregular buildings has recently been tested. Conclusions about the performance of each NSP are outlined at the end of the article.     

Ground-Motion Prediction Equations Based on Data from the Himalayan and Zagros Regions

This study derives ground-motion prediction equations for the horizontal elastic response spectral acceleration for 5% damping for application to the Indian Himalayas. The present equations include a consideration of site category (rock/soil) and style-of-faulting (strike-slip/reverse). Due to a lack of near-field data from India, additional strong-motion data have been included from the Zagros region of Iran, which has comparable seismotectonics to the Himalayas (continental compression). A set of 201 records from 16 earthquakes were used within the regression. The derived model predicts similar ground motions to previously published equations for the Himalayan region but with lower standard deviations.     

SEISMIC FRAGILITY OF LRC FRAMES WITH AND WITHOUT MASONRY INFILL WALLS

This paper summarises the first phase of the fragility analyses of generic (representative) buildings in the area of Memphis, Tennessee, USA. The study was conducted at Cornell University as a part of the project Loss Assessment of Memphis Buildings (LAMB) for the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER). In this study, the fragility analyses focus on low-rise Lightly Reinforced Concrete (LRC) frame buildings with and without infill walls. The obtained fragility curves are compared with those of ATC-13 for different facility classes. Based on the obtained fragility curves, it is concluded that adding masonry infill wails to low-rise LRC frame buildings significantly reduces the likelihood of seismic damage.     

General Seismic Load Distribution for Optimum Performance-Based Design of Shear-Buildings

An optimization method based on uniform damage distribution is used to find optimum design load distribution for seismic design of regular and irregular shear-buildings to achieve minimum structural damage. By using 75 synthetic spectrum-compatible earthquakes, optimum design load distributions are obtained for different performance targets, dynamic characteristics, and site soil classifications. For the same structural weight, optimum designed buildings experience up to 40% less global damage compared to code-based designed buildings. A new general load distribution equation is presented for optimum performance-based seismic design of structures which leads to a more efficient use of structural materials and better seismic performance.     

Seismic Reliability of Code-Conforming Italian Buildings

ABSTRACT

This paper presents and discusses some research results related to the seismic failure risk of standard, residential and industrial, buildings designed for damage, and life-safety according to the Italian seismic code, which is somewhat similar to Eurocode 8. The five considered structural typologies are as follows: masonry, cast-in-place reinforced concrete, precast reinforced concrete, steel, and base-isolated buildings. The archetype structures have been designed according to standard practice at three sites, representative of the seismic hazard across the country. Seismic risk is defined here as the annual rate of earthquakes able to cause structural failure in terms of usability-preventing damage and global collapse. For each structure, the failure rates have been evaluated in the framework of performance-based earthquake engineering, that is, via integration of site’s probabilistic hazard and structural fragility. The former has been computed consistently with the official hazard model for Italy that is also used to define design actions in the code. The latter has been addressed via nonlinear dynamic analysis of three-dimensional numerical structural models. Results indicate that, generally, design procedures are such that seismic structural reliability tends to decrease with increasing seismic hazard of the building site, despite the homogeneous return period of exceedance of the design seismic ground-motion.     

INFLUENCE OF CAPACITY DESIGN METHOD ON THE SEISMIC RESPONSE OF R/C COLUMNS

Abstract

This paper aims at assessing the influence of the design procedure followed in designing the columns of a reinforced concrete (R/C) building on the performance of the columns, aa well as of the structure as a whole, when subjected to seismic loading; to identify potential weaknesses in currently adopted procedures; and to present a new procedure which is based on currently-available, powerful analytical tools, and results in increased reliability with regard to seismic loading. Two case studies are presented, involving multistorey reinforced concrete buildings with frame and dual structural systems subjected to various appropriately-scaled input accelerograms. The results obtained indicate that capacity design of columns results in adequate safety margins against failure, even when the adopted overstrength factors are quite low, but hinging in columns is not avoided unless very high overstrength factors are used. The suggested novel technique of capacity design led to very satisfactory seismic performance, and offers the possibility of cost reduction by achieving an appropriate balance between provided flexural strength and corresponding confinement.     

Seismic Analysis of Non Proportionally Damped Two-Way Asymmetric Elastic Buildings Under Bi-Directional Seismic Ground Motions

This study investigates the effectiveness of the modal analysis using three-degree-of freedom (3DOF) modal equations of motion to deal with the seismic analysis of two-way asymmetric elastic systems with supplemental damping. The 3DOF modal equations of motion possessing the non proportional damping property enable the two modal translations and one modal rotation to be non proportional in an elastic state. The simple approximation method is to use the single degree-of-freedom (SDOF) modal equations of motion, which are obtained by neglecting the off-diagonal elements of the transformed damping matrix. One, one-story and one, three-story non proportionally damped two-way asymmetric buildings under the excitation of bi-directional seismic ground motions are analyzed. The analytical results are obtained by using the proposed method, noted simple approximation method, and direct integration of the equation of motion. It is seen that the proposed method can significantly improve the accuracy of the analytical results compared with those obtained by using the simple approximation method. Moreover, the proposed method does not substantially increase the computational efforts.     

An Investigation of the Ground Motion Scaling Procedures for the Nonlinear Seismic Analyses of Concrete Gravity Dams

Seismic assessment of gravity dams is generally carried out using time history analyses. Scaling of the motions is commonly used; however, in contrast to buildings, the performance of scaling procedures at predicting the mean and reducing the dispersion in engineering demand parameters (EDPs) is not known. The main goal of this study is to assess the performance of different scaling procedures in predicting seismic demands on dams. The performance regarding the prediction of the damage and the required number of motions for effective analysis was investigated. The results show that techniques commonly used for moment frames should not readily be applied to these structures.     

STATISTICAL SEISMIC VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT OF EXISTING REINFORCED CONCRETE BUILDINGS IN TURKEY ON A REGIONAL SCALE

A statistical procedure, called discriminant analysis, is used to develop a model for the preliminary assessment of the seismic vulnerability of low- to medium-rise (2-7 storey) reinforced concrete buildings. The earthquake damage data compiled in Düzce province after the 12 November 1999 Düzce earthquake formed the damage database. Number of storeys, minimum normalised lateral stiffness index, minimum normalised lateral strength index, normalised redundancy score, soft storey index and overhang ratio are selected as the basic damage inducing variables. Two discriminant functions are derived in terms of these variables considering immediate occupancy and life safety performance levels. In the proposed preliminary seismic vulnerability assessment model, the discri-minant scores obtained from these two discriminant functions are combined in an optimal way and axe used to classify existing buildings as “safe”, “unsafe” and “requires further evaluation”. The optimality criterion imposed into the model is the minimisation of the misclassification rate of damage states causing collapse. The validity of the proposed model is checked by using the seismic damage data associated with recent earthquakes that occurred in Turkey. The consistency between the observed damage distribution and the predictions of the proposed model supports the effectiveness of the proposed model.     

An Analytical Study on the Seismic Vulnerability of Masonry Buildings in India

Two analytical models for unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings are proposed with the aim to simulate their seismic response and to estimate corresponding vulnerability functions. The proposed models are implemented in SAP 2000 nonlinear software to obtain capacity curve parameters for representative Indian URM buildings, based on a field survey and statistical analysis. Vulnerability functions are estimated using the obtained capacity curves. Damage Probability Matrices (DPMs) are obtained using the approximate PGA-intensity correlation relationship as per Indian seismic building code and are compared with the commonly used intensity scales and empirical damage data observed after the 2001 Bhuj earthquake.     

Seismic vulnerability assessment of historic centers: description of a predictive method and application to the case study of scanno (Abruzzi,Italy)

ABSTRACT

In this article, a predictive model for the seismic vulnerability assessment of old Italian historic centers is presented through its direct application to a meaningful case study, the historic center of Scanno, in Abruzzi, Italy.

The proposed method is calibrated on the basis of the observations carried out on similar historic centers hit by the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake and is applied in order to provide likely damage scenarios by means of fragility curves. The method is based on the evaluation of a limited number of structural and typological parameters that can be obtained by simple and rapid inspections on buildings. In addition, it is conceived in order to provide useful information on the most effective anti-seismic strategies to be implemented on urban scale for pursuing a global mitigation of the seismic risk and for the application of suitable risk reduction policies.

The final aim of the article is to give an applicative vision of the method, by providing instructions on how to judge the features of the buildings that are influential on their seismic behavior, as well as by showing the potentiality of the method itself in providing likely damage scenarios, also with the support of GIS-based representations.