Comparison between the Seismic Performance of Integral and Jointed Concrete Bridges

This article presents a probabilistic fragility analysis for two groups of integral and jointed concrete bridges, with varying length and column height. The results show that the integral bridges perform consistently better from a seismic perspective than the jointed bridges. Comparisons are also drawn between the seismic fragility of different geometric configurations. The results show that for integral bridges, the seismic vulnerability increases with an increase in bridge length and decreases with an increase in column height. For the jointed bridge, it was found that geometric variation in column height and bridge length does not significantly affect its seismic vulnerability.     

Parameterized Seismic Fragility Curves for Curved Multi-frame Concrete Box-Girder Bridges Using Bayesian Parameter Estimation

This paper addresses the application of a Bayesian parameter estimation method to a regional seismic risk assessment of curved concrete bridges. For this purpose, numerical models of case-study bridges are simulated to generate multiparameter demand models of components, consisting of various uncertainty parameters and an intensity measure (IM). The demand models are constructed using a Bayesian parameter estimation method and combined with limit states to derive the parameterized fragility curves. These fragility curves are used to develop bridge-specific and bridge-class fragility curves. Moreover, a stepwise removal process in the Bayesian parameter estimation is performed to identify significant parameters affecting component demands.     

Analytical Fragility Curves for a Class of Horizontally Curved Box-Girder Bridges

Analytical fragility curves were developed for curved single-frame concrete box-girder bridges with seat-type abutments. The bridges incorporated the current seismic design considerations and modern details that were recently adopted by CALTRANS. Fragility curves demonstrated that columns were the most vulnerable components, while the modern seismic details successfully protected the abutment piles from damage during large earthquakes. Increasing the subtended angle affected the seismic vulnerability at both the component and system levels. Functional relationships were proposed to evaluate the seismic vulnerability of curved bridges. Moreover, fragility curve parameters were shown to depend on soil condition and spectral characteristics of ground motions.     

Regional Seismic Risk Assessment of Bridge Network in Charleston,South Carolina

This article presents the results of a seismic risk assessment of the bridge network in Charleston, South Carolina and the surrounding counties to support emergency planning efforts, and for prioritization of bridge retrofit. This study includes an inventory analysis of the approximately 375 bridges in the Charleston area, and convolution of the seismic hazard with fragility curves analytically derived for classes of bridges common to this part of the country. State-of-the-art bridge fragility curves and replacement cost estimates based on region-specific data are used to obtain economic loss estimates. The distribution of potential bridge damage and economic losses are evaluated for several scenario events in order to aid in the identification of emergency routes and assess areas for investment in retrofit. This article also evaluates the effect of uncertainty on the resulting predicted economic losses. The findings reveal that while the risk assessment is very sensitive to both the assumed fragility curves and damage ratios, the estimate of total expected economic losses is more sensitive to the vast differences in damage ratio models considered.     

Probabilistic Performance Assessment of Retrofitted Skewed Multi Span Continuous Concrete I-girder Bridges

The unique dynamic response of skewed bridges causes them to experience more noticeable damage compared to straight bridges during seismic events. The effectiveness of different retrofit strategies on the fragility of skewed bridges can change with the skew angle. This article assesses the impact of skew angle and various retrofit strategies on the fragility of multi span continuous concrete I-girder bridges. The results indicate that the level of effectiveness of a retrofit strategy is highly dependent on the skew angle and damage state of interest and an appropriate retrofit strategy should be chosen based on the vulnerability of the components.     

Bayesian Updating of Seismic Demand Models and Fragility Estimates for Reinforced Concrete Bridges with Two-Column Bents

Probabilistic models have been developed in a previous study by the authors to estimate the seismic deformation demands on structural components of reinforced concrete (RC) bridges with two-column bents. However, such models should be updated to reflect the latest laboratory of field data. Using a Bayesian approach, this article updates a currently available probabilistic model for the deformation demands of columns in bridges with two-column RC bents. The updated model incorporates information from newly available experimental data from shake table tests conducted based on a record of the 1994 Northridge Earthquake for a structural system with three bents with two columns per bent. The updated model is more accurate than the previous one in predicting the deformation demand of bridges with two-column RC bents and reduces the statistical uncertainty due to the addition of new data. As an application, fragility estimates for an example bridge are computed using the updated model both at the component (column) and system (bridge) levels.     

ON THE ROLE OF ROAD NETWORKS IN REDUCING HUMAN LOSSES AFTER EARTHQUAKES

A road-network reliability analysis for a scenario seismic event is performed for a region of southern Italy characterised by a large number of small to medium municipalities quite close to each other and served by a dense network of roads. Among the many functions of the road network, whose links may fail after an earthquake due to the collapse of the bridges within them, the one selected for the present study is that of allowing rescue operations to be carried out at the sites of collapsed schools. For this to be possible, connection must be maintained between schools that survived, rescue centres and hospitals. Required elements for the study are the fragility curves of the bridges, the schools, the hospitals and the rescue centres. Output of the study is the expected value of the fraction of the total population in the area that is in need of assistance and cannot be hospitalised due to either failure of the network or other vulnerable components.     

Critical Assessment of Intensity Measures for Seismic Response of Italian RC Bridge Portfolios

The seismic assessment of a road network depends largely on the characterization of the fragility of its bridge components. The accuracy of bridge seismic demand estimates and the use of proper intensity measures (IM) will significantly influence such task. The available literature has mainly focused on buildings or a limited number of bridge configurations and IMs, which may not be representative for bridge portfolio assessment studies. In this paper, the correlation quality between a larger pool of traditional and innovative IMs and the nonlinear dynamic response of typical Italian RC bridges is investigated to identify the best-performing IMs.     

Development of Damage Patterns and Fragility Curves in Brick-nogging Buildings from the Thabeikkyin Earthquake,Myanmar, 2012

The Thabeikkyin earthquake (moment magnitude scale of 6.8) occurred on November 11, 2012; its epicenter was located 25 km from Thabeikkyin Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar. Many buildings were damaged severely during the earthquake. In this study, damage patterns of brick-nogging buildings were firstly developed, and damage grades were characterized to allow for easy classification of the damaged buildings. The damaged data of all building types in the surveyed areas were collected by classifying the four damage levels as no damage, slight damage, moderate damage, and heavy damage. To develop the damage patterns of brick-nogging buildings, damage categories were arranged into three damage grades (slight, moderate, and heavy damage). Secondly, a questionnaire survey was conducted to calculate the seismic intensities of the affected areas. Medvedev–Sponheuer–Karnik (MSK) seismic intensities for the surveyed areas were estimated by analyzing the questionnaire survey responses. Finally, fragility curves for brick-nogging buildings were constructed using the estimated seismic intensities from the survey responses combined with the damage levels. These fragility curves may be useful to assess damage to brick-nogging buildings and to predict the number of damaged buildings in future earthquakes.     

Numerical Fragility Analysis of Vertical-Pile-Supported Wharves in the Western United States

This study develops seismic fragility curves for vertical-pile-supported wharves commonly found in the western United States. Nonlinear time-history analyses of a two-dimensional numerical model under two ground motion suites are performed. The results show that the jumbo container cranes increase by 10.8% in the wharf deck drift. By using the experiment-based limit states, the proposed fragility curves demonstrate that, at a PGA of 0.50 g, the probabilities of exceeding slight, moderate, extensive, and complete limit states are approximately 23.0%, 7.0%, 4.0%, and 3.0%, respectively, while at a PGA of 1.00 g, the exceeding probabilities increase to 44.0%, 19.0%, 14.0%, and 11.0%, respectively.     

Analytical Seismic Assessment of a Tall Long-Span Curved Reinforced-Concrete Bridge. Part II: Structural Response

The seismic assessment of special bridges, even under the hypothesis of full knowledge of site conditions, structural characteristics, and seismic activity at their location, is not an easy and straightforward task due to the complexities and uncertainties related to the finite-element modeling approaches, structural loading scenarios, and seismic analysis methodologies. In this article, a series of nonlinear static and dynamic finite-element analyses on the Mogollon Rim Viaduct are performed with consideration of both uniform and conditionally simulated non-uniform seismic motions. The failure modes of the bridge using different numerical modeling approaches are discussed, and the degree of sensitivity of its response to the different seismic assessment strategies is evaluated. The effect of the multi-component, multi-support and multi-directional excitations of ground motions on the design and response are studied, and the pros and cons of the commonly used structural analysis methodologies of bridges are also addressed. The numerical results of the present study provide a deeper insight into the nonlinear behavior of curved reinforced-concrete bridges, and suggest practice-oriented approaches for their seismic assessment.     

FRAGILITY OF STANDARD INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURES BY A RESPONSE SURFACE BASED METHOD

National and international regulatory standards require industrial risk assessment, taking into account natural hazards including earthquakes, in the framework of Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA). Seismic fragility analysis of industrial components may be carried out similarly as what has been done for buildings, even though some peculiar aspects require the development of specific tools. In the present paper a contribution to the definition of a rational procedure for seismic vulnerability assessment of standardised industrial constructions in a probabilistic framework is given. The method covers a range of components of the same structural type. Seismic reliability formulation for structures is used. Both seismic capacity and demand are considered probabilistic with the latter assessed by dynamic analyses. The application example refers to shell elephant foot buckling of unanchored sliding tanks. A regression-based method is applied to relate fragility curves to parameters varying in the domain of variables for structural design.     

Sustainability of Highway Bridge Networks Under Seismic Hazard

In order to evaluate the seismic risk of transportation networks, it is necessary to develop a methodology that integrates the probabilities of occurrence of seismic events in a region, the vulnerability of the civil infrastructure, and the consequences of the seismic hazard to the society, environment, and economy. In this article, a framework for the time-variant seismic sustainability and risk assessment of highway bridge networks is presented. The sustainability of the network is quantified in terms of its social, environmental, and economic metrics. These include the expected downtime, expected energy waste and carbon dioxide emissions, and the expected loss. The methodology considers the probability of occurrence of a set of seismic scenarios that reflect the seismic activity of the region. The performance of network links is quantified based on individual bridge performance evaluated through fragility analyses. The sustainability and risk depend on the damage states of both the links and the bridges within the network following an earthquake scenario. The time-variation of the sustainability metrics and risk due to structural deterioration is identified. The approach is illustrated on a transportation network located in Alameda County, California.     

Seismic Reconnaissance and Observed Damage after the Mw 6.8, 24 August 2016 Chauk (Central Myanmar) Earthquake

On 24 August 2016, Mw 6.8 earthquake occurred near Chauk, Central Myanmar. This earthquake caused a significant amount of damage over a very large number of historical monuments. After providing a general summary of the regional tectonic settings and seismicity, the observed ground motion has been discussed, and performance of structures in the epicentral area is addressed, focusing on the damage observed in both historical and recent constructions. The observed damage patterns and their extent are analyzed and interpreted in light of observed damage that was found. Lastly, seismic fragility curves of local buildings have been derived.     

Seismic Displacement Demands on Skewed Bridge Decks Supported on Elastomeric Bearings

The unseating of decks is one of the most prevalent failure modes of bridges after earthquake events, as observed in the 2010 Chile Earthquake. Damaged bridges in Chile often had skew angles and were supported on elastomeric bearings. Similar bridge construction practices with decks supported on elastomeric bearings are also common in the central and eastern U.S. (CEUS). The seismic displacement demands on skewed bridges are more complicated than those on bridges without skew angles due to the coupling of translational modes with the rotational mode of vibration. The study presented in this article seeks to understand the seismic response of skewed bridge decks supported on elastomeric bearings. The scope of the study is limited to one- and two-span bridges, which constitute a large portion of bridge inventory in the CEUS. The vibration modes of skewed bridge decks are derived in closed form and the modes are compared when the gaps between the bridge deck and the abutment are open and when one of the gaps is closed due to seismic excitation. Nonlinear response history analyses are carried out to understand the effects of vertical ground motion, skew angles, aspect ratios, and different ground motion types on the seismic displacement demand in these cases. Amplification factors that approximate the increase in the displacement demand due to the skew angle are proposed.     

Seismic Fragility Assessment of Lightly Reinforced Concrete Structural Walls

Development of fragility functions is a pertinent stage in seismic performance assessment of structures. A database of lightly Reinforced Concrete (RC) walls under simulated seismic loading is compiled from the literature to establish the drift-based seismic fragility functions. To classify the damage states experienced by RC walls, the Park-Ang Damage model is amended in this research. Then, the modified Bouc-Wen-Baber-Noori hysteresis model is implemented in ABAQUS to predict the hysteresis behavior of RC walls. Thereafter, the proposed hysteresis model is employed to develop the seismic fragility curves of low to mid-rise RC walls in Singapore using incremental dynamic analysis approach.     

Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Hybrid Steel-Timber Structure: Steel Moment-Resisting Frames with CLT Infill

In this article, seismic vulnerability assessment is carried-out on a novel hybrid structure (steel moment resisting frame (SMRF) and cross laminated timber (CLT) infill panels). For the seismicity of Vancouver, Canada, a three-bay, 3-, 6-, and 9-story height SMRFs are designed for two ductility levels (ductile and limited ductility). To study the seismic vulnerability CLT infilled building, parametric analysis was performed by varying infill configuration (bare frame, one-bay infilled, two-bay infilled, and fully infilled). The structure is modeled in OpenSees and nonlinear dynamic analysis is performed. Peak inter-story drift demand and corresponding FEMA performance limits (capacity) values are used to compute the corresponding fragility curves. From the analyses, it can be seen that as more bays are infilled, the fundamental period and seismic vulnerability is reduced significantly. The results highlight that, within the performance-based earthquake engineering, different objectives can be met with varying the CLT configuration.     

Analytical Seismic Assessment of a Tall Long-Span Curved Reinforced-Concrete Bridge. Part I: Numerical Modeling and Input Excitation

The seismic response of bridges is affected by a number of modeling considerations, such as pier embedment, buried pile caps, seat-type abutments, pounding, bond slip and architecturally flared part of piers, and loading considerations, such as non-uniform ground excitations and orientation of ground motion components, which are not readily addressed by design codes. This article addresses a methodology for the nonlinear static and dynamic analysis of a tall, long-span, curved, reinforced-concrete bridge, the Mogollon Rim Viaduct. Various modeling scenarios are considered for the bridge components, soil-structure interaction system, and materials, i.e., concrete and reinforcing steel, covering all its geotechnical and structural aspects based on recent advances in bridge engineering. Various analysis methodologies (nonlinear static pushover, time history response to uniform and spatially variable seismic excitations, and incremental dynamic analyses) are performed. For the dynamic analyses, a suite of nine earthquake accelerograms are selected and their characteristics are investigated using seismic intensity parameters. A recently developed approach for the generation of non-uniform seismic excitations, i.e., spatially variable simulations conditioned on the recorded time series, is used. Methods for the evaluation of structural performance are discussed and their limitations addressed. The numerical results of the seismic assessment of the Mogollon Rim Viaduct are presented in the companion article (Part II). The sensitivity of the bridge response to the adopted modeling, loading and analyzing strategies, as well as the correlation between structural damage and seismic intensity parameters are examined in detail.     

Seismic Reliability Assessment of a High-Voltage Disconnect Switch Using an Effective Fragility Analysis

This article deals with evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of a high-voltage vertical disconnect switch, one of the most vulnerable elements of electric substations. The main objective of the research is to evaluate the seismic fragility of the apparatus using a new effective method. By combining standard reliability methods for time-invariant problems with the response surface technique, this original procedure called “EFA” (Effective Fragility Analysis) permits the evaluation of fragility curves using a very limited number of numerical simulations. On the basis of experimental tests, to determine the mechanical characteristics of the disconnect switch components (ceramic, joints, etc.) the fragility curves of the equipment analyzed are carried out. The results are discussed and compared with the results of Monte Carlo simulations, which confirm the reliability of the procedure.     

Comparing expeditious procedures for the seismic vulnerability assessment on the European territorial context: reliability,feasibility, cost,and time consumption

ABSTRACT

The definition of strategies for the preservation and protection of cultural heritage is a topical issue, especially in view of the increasing relevance of the theme of seismic risk mitigation and reduction.

The prediction of the impact an earthquake could have on existing buildings requires the knowledge of their dynamic behaviour. The procedure to be adopted for this purpose is quite complex and onerous in terms of costs, time, and implementation, especially when the study concerns territorial areas rather than single buildings. The definition of methodologies aimed at respecting the principles of economic sustainability and preserving human life and architectural heritage is of paramount importance to assess seismic vulnerability using available resources. Rapid methods for the seismic vulnerability assessment, aimed at defining buildings vulnerability and intervention priority lists, must be implemented to guarantee the preservation of historical centers.

This article describes the application to some case studies of different methods aimed at creating fragility curves for the vulnerability assessment on the European territorial context. The comparison between a deterministic approach and a new probabilistic one is performed for all case studies, to define the most suitable methodology in terms of reliability and savings in cost and time.