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In focusing on regional development and industrialization, this article highlights three main themes: the relevance to developing countries of the new industrial district concept; the apparent continued need to theorize agglomerated industrial growth; and the relevance of agricultural development to local and regional industrial development. It concludes that the new industrial district concept is not relevant to understanding industrialization in the peripheral regions of developing countries and that despite the introduction of decentralization policies, local industrial development will, as before, very largely depend on central government resource allocation, the stability of government and the role played by large and medium scale enterprises, including Multi-National Corporations (MNCs). It is also argued that without special efforts to develop agriculture, local and regional industrial development are less likely to occur.  相似文献   

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This paper examines geographical dimensions of the actual and potential impacts of economic restructuring on individual regions in Australia from the perspective of the jobs and services that support people and families. Four examples are discussed: The discussion raises four sets of concerns for the future: potential social dislocation in rural and remote communities; the erosion of the employment and service bases of those same communities; the vulnerability of sections of society, especially women and disadvantaged ethnic groups; and the imprecision involved in disentangling webs of cross subsidy and community service obligations in Australia.
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The variability of demographic trends at the subnational scale, particularly internal and international migration, renders subnational population forecasting more difficult than at the national scale. Illustrating the uncertainty of the demographic future for subnational regions is therefore a crucial element of any set of subnational population forecasts. However, subnational forecasts are currently prepared using deterministic models, which fail to properly address the issue of demographic uncertainty. The traditional high, medium, and low variants approach employed by many national statistical offices poses a number of problems. Probabilistic population forecasting models have the potential to overcome many of these problems, but these models have so far been limited to national-level forecasts. This article reports a first attempt to implement a probabilistic approach to subnational population forecasting using a biregional projection framework. The article sets out the forecasting framework, outlines the approach adopted to formulate each of the assumptions, and presents probabilistic forecasts for 2002–2051 for Queensland and the rest of Australia. The forecasts show a two-thirds probability that Queensland's population in 2051 will be between 5.4 and 7.7 million while the same range for the rest of the country is 18.6 and 22.7 million. The forecasts quantify to what extent greater uncertainty exists about the demographic future at the subnational compared with the national scale.  相似文献   

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R. A. C. PARKER. Chamberlain and Appeasement: British Policy and the Coming of the Second World War. London: Macmillan, 1993. Pp. v, 388. £35.00;

GAINES POST, JR. Dilemmas of Appeasement: British Deterrence and Defense, 1934–1937. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1993. $48.50 (US);

R. J. Q. ADAMS. British Politics and Foreign Policy in the Age of Appeasement, 1935–39. London: Macmillan, 1993. Pp. xii, 192. £40.00;

MICHAEL J. COHEN and MARTIN KOLINSKY, eds. Britain and the Middle East in the 1930s: Security Problems, 1935–1939. London: Macmillan, 1992. Pp. xvii, 231. $40.00;

BENNY MORRIS. The Roots of Appeasement: The British Weekly Press and Nazi Germany during the 1930s. London: Frank Cass, 1992. Pp. 212. $40.00 (US);

GERARD J. DE GROOT. Liberal Crusader: The Life of Sir Archibald Sinclair. New York: New York University Press, 1993. Pp. xi, 266. $35.00 (US);

CLEMENT LEIBOVITZ. The Chamberlain-Hitler Deal. Edmonton, Alberta: Les Éditions Duval Inc., 1993. Pp. viii, 544. No Price Available.  相似文献   

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The present article is devoted to the enigmatic Bjarmaland of the Old Norse sources. Where was Bjarmaland situated? Was there only one Bjarmaland , or were there several Bjarmalands ? The author approaches these questions by going through the historical sources mentioning Bjarmaland / Biarmonia / Biarmia . Second, she analyses the reception of Bjarmaland in Russian historical literature in the eighteenth to twentieth centuries, and finally, she gives her own opinion on the question of its localization, etymological origin and changing lexical content.  相似文献   

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In1951,When Tibet wonpeaceful liberation, PLAsoldiers reached a townwith only a few house-holds. As a token of thanks forthe PLA who strove to expandit, the town was named Bayi,or August 1,the day on whichthe People's Liberation Armywas founded.  相似文献   

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As Dartmouth has been the only wreck of a man-of-war from the 17th century to have been published in a preliminary report, it has long been the benchmark wreck for this period. Since the date of the publication, however, research has uncovered information that was not available at the time and which may shed additional light on this interesting ship. This paper aims to contribute to our understanding of Dartmouth 's construction and her place as a typical small cruiser of the mid-17th century.
© 2007 The Author  相似文献   

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John Clark 《Folklore》2013,124(1-2):93-96
This paper discusses various ways the concept of the past has been interpreted and used in Welsh antiquarian and folklore studies, beginning and ending with illustrations of popular concepts of “Welshness” in the tourism and heritage industries, and en route making a critique of “centre vs periphery” scholarly models. Special attention is paid to the work of the Celtic scholar Sir John Rhys and Iowerth Peate, the founder of the Welsh Folk Museum.  相似文献   

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本文从编纂体裁及世界观两个角度对《瀛寰志略》的学术价值作了评述 ,认为该书是第一部由中国人吸纳西方章节体编纂而成的兼具中西之长的世界史地著作 ,从该书对世界文明的评述中 ,可解读出“世界文明层次论。”  相似文献   

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《Northern history》2013,50(1):189-193
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Duggleby Howe alone exhibits the full range of burial practices that characterize the British Later Neolithic. It has therefore been central to their seriation. Yet a re-reading of Mortimer's text suggests that a prolonged sequence for the burials in the mound is unlikely. Since this includes cremations held to characterize the Final Neolithic, consideration must be given to the circumstances which might generate such a large mortuary population and lead to their quite different treatment.  相似文献   

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In the 1960s, Visit a New City, a Tibetansong, told how the emancipated Tibetanserfs were satisfied with the changes takingplace to Lhasa. During the ongoing reformand opening period, the ancient city hasexperienced and is still experiencing fast changes.FARMER LOST HIS WAY IN LHASAPuncog, from Xigaze, had not been to Lhasafor five years. During the Tibetan New Year, hedecided to visit his relatives there. He was quitefamiliar with the road, but this time he lost his way."Lhasa h…  相似文献   

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