HISTORICAL CYCLES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF A TERRITORY

The concept of historical development cycles of a territory is proposed, distinguishing time scales of the order of 10, 100 and 1000 years and spatial scales ranging from local through regional to global. The notion of growth poles is introduced into the space-time stratification of development, and three types of poles are distinguished: (1) permanent poles that maintain their position through a sequence of historical cycles; (2) migrating poles; (3) mutually substituent poles that exchange positions from one cycle to another. Various types of growth poles and development cycles are associated with each of the three time scales. For example, local and regional cycles with permanent poles tend to be associated with short-duration cycles, the global cycles and mutually substituent poles with long-duration cycles.