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China's "Dash for Gas": Challenges and Potential Impacts on Global Markets
Abstract:Two UK-based researchers examine the significant recent growth in China's demand for natural gas, a fuel not long ago considered of marginal importance but now viewed as critical for the country's future economic growth. Based on a range of databases as well as industry and media reports, the authors demonstrate how rapid demand growth since 2005 has transformed China from a minor, self-sufficient gas producer to a major buyer on international gas markets. They also analyze projections for future demand growth (25 years), showing China's demand for gas will grow faster that anywhere else in the world, and explore the potential for development of China's substantial domestic gas reserves to mitigate import demand over the short to medium term. The study concludes with an assessment of China's potential impact on global gas markets over short, intermediate, and long time horizons.
Keywords:China  natural gas  gas pipelines  LNG  LNG terminals  unconventional gas resources  coalbed methane  shale gas  gas hydrates  tight gas sands  East China Sea  South China Sea  natural gas pricing
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